AI Good and Bad

I'm always wrong about technology. In high school (late 90's), a classmate told me he was setting up a LAN at his house, and I laughed at him asking why, and was his floppy disks not enough to transfer data.

A couple years later, WiFi was ubiquitous.

Folks were paying a fortune for crappy internet speeds on their cellular flip phones, and I said that will never be a thing, because we have great internet at home (and WiFi, which I said would never be a thing).

In 2008, I built a PC for my grandfather with an SSD, and it was so incredible that I said it would outsell mechanical hard drives in 2 years. I was off by a decade (2021 SSD overtook mechanical hard drive sales).

AI is a bubble like the internet is a bubble; that is to say the flakey garbage went away and we will get the powerful tools. Maybe home networks, internet on your phone, and solid state storage is a passing fad, like AI.

Within 5 years we will have advocate AI agents working for us, or we'll be taking it in the rear continually.
 
In 2008, I built a PC for my grandfather with an SSD, and it was so incredible that I said it would outsell mechanical hard drives in 2 years.
I don't remember how long ago I got my first SSD. It was an IDE drive which puts it pretty far back. Ever since, I've been saying that switching to SSD was the single best enhancement for just about any PC. When I switched my BI storage drive to SSD, BI started acting a whole lot snappier and happier.
 
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I went to expand my storage as I'm running thin and found prices are ludicrous. Decided to de-dupe my data instead until prices come down. At some point there has got to be a flood of used equipment as the bubble bursts, but AI disagrees with me somewhat.
 
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seeing numerous stories on "Just as good" or "even better than" Mythos ..

too bad they took fable offline before I played with it.

been playing with Opus 4.8 .. and while I am impressed, it also seems great at getting you to a 80-90% there result.
Finishing up the extra 10-20% is the challenge.
Quality control and Quality assurance is also a major challenge.

Still impressive results
 
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I went to expand my storage as I'm running thin and found prices are ludicrous. Decided to de-dupe my data instead until prices come down. At some point there has got to be a flood of used equipment as the bubble bursts, but AI disagrees with me somewhat.
I'm waiting for the refurbished NAS drives from HGST and Seagate Barracuda to become available again on ebay
 
AI said a handful of enterprise drives will reach the used market, but the majority will be shredded.
Well that sucks - perfectly salvageable drives, when can't they program AI to self-destruct themselves when it becomes finally time for retirement from the data center?
 
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AI prediction .. those who have it ( will rule the world ), and those who do not ( will become poorer )

 
AI prediction .. those who have it ( will rule the world ), and those who do not ( will become poorer )

Agreed, but with the caveat that everyone will have it- with the poorer driven more by it, and the richer driving it.

All tools are a double-edge sword. You can be defeated by it, or you can conquer with it.

Unrelated on another forum-

Man, roofing tech has come a long way since the days of just slapping down felt paper and calling it a day. I remember helping my uncle roof a shed back in the 90s, and we thought we were being high-tech just by using a chalk line. Seeing those multiple layers of adhesive-backed membrane really highlights how much we’re prioritizing sealing the building envelope now.
In this community, we’re always looking for ways to seal up gaps—whether it’s taping seams on a DIY belly pan or blocking a grill to keep engine heat in—so it’s cool to see that same philosophy applied to a house. If that product is manufactured in Alberta, you know it’s designed to handle some serious thermal expansion and contraction. It’s basically "hypermiling" for a home's longevity; you spend more upfront on materials to avoid the "drag" of leaks or heat loss later. I’ve noticed that since I did a similar peel-and-stick layer on my detached garage, the internal temperature stays way more stable.
Do you think this level of over-engineering is becoming the new baseline because of crazier weather patterns, or has the cost of these membranes finally dropped enough to make them a standard choice for every build?


Bots are getting sneaky because it was on topic, sounded like how some people might communicate, but proclaimed something no human on planet earth would ever proclaim- that "roofing tech has come a long way". That's among the few things that hasn't budged an inch in a hundred years. We're still installing asphalt shingle roofs invented by morons, and installed by chimpanzees. I still began to respond as if a human had generated that post, but barely became suspicious enough to call it out.

It is likely that most content will be provided by AI, and consumed by AI. We're at risk of AI slop all the way down. As I mentioned elsewhere, AI has no motivation, no intention, and no curiosity. It has reward functions which corporations define, and are opaque to the users. There's practically no limit to what it can know, but there's nothing it can understand, and the difference between knowing and understanding is a universe apart.
 
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