The Study
The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection is important to estimate accurately, since 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years. In systematic searches in SeroTracker and...
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The Article
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
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The Numbers
The review begins with a statement of fact that was almost entirely ignored by lockdown “experts” throughout the pandemic, but especially when restrictions,
lockdowns and mandates were at their peak early on.
“The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection is important to estimate accurately, since
94 percent of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86 percent is younger than 60 years.” [Emphasis added.]
94 percent of the global population is younger than 70 years old.
6 percent of is older than 70 years old.
86 percent is younger than 60 years old.
This is relevant because restrictions overwhelmingly impacted the 86–94 percent of people who are younger than 60 or 70 years old.
Ioannidis and his co-writers reviewed 40 national seroprevalence studies that covered 38 countries to come to determine their estimates of infection fatality rate for the overwhelming majority of people.
Importantly, those seroprevalence studies were conducted before the vaccines were released, meaning the IFR’s were calculated before whatever impact vaccines had on younger age groups.
So what did they find?
The median infection fatality rate for those aged 0–59 was 0.035 percent.
This represents 86 percent of the global population and the survival rate for those who were infected with COVID pre-vaccination was 99.965 percent.
For those aged 0–69, which covers 94 percent of the global population, the fatality rate was 0.095 percent,
meaning the survival rate for nearly 7.3 billion people was 99.905 percent.
Those survival rates are obviously staggeringly high, which already creates frustration that restrictions were imposed on all age groups, when focused protection for those over 70 or at significantly elevated risk would have been a much more preferable course of action.
But it gets worse.
The researchers broke down the demographics into smaller buckets, showing the increase in risk amongst older populations, and conversely, how infinitesimal the risk was amongst younger age groups.
- Ages 60–69, fatality rate 0.501 percent, survival rate 99.499 percent
- Ages 50–59, fatality rate 0.129 percent, survival rate 99.871 percent
- Ages 40–49, fatality rate 0.035 percent survival rate 99.965 percent
- Ages 30–39, fatality rate 0.011 percent, survival rate 99.989 percent
- Ages 20–29, fatality rate 0.003 percent, survival rate 99.997 percent
- Ages 0–19, fatality rate 0.0003 percent, survival rate 99.9997 percent
They added that “Including data from another 9 countries with imputed age distribution of COVID-19 deaths yielded median IFR of 0.025-0.032 percent for 0-59 years and 0.063-0.082 percent for 0-69 years.”
These numbers are astounding and reassuringly low, across the board.
But they’re almost nonexistent for children.
Yet as late as fall 2021, Fauci was still fear-mongering about the risks of COVID to children in order to increase vaccination uptake, saying in an interview that it was not a “benign situation”:
“We certainly want to get as many children vaccinated within this age group as we possibly can because as you heard and reported, that this is not, you know, a benign situation.”
It’s nearly impossible for any illness to be less of a risk, or more “benign” than a 0.0003 percent risk of death.